Sunday, December 13, 2009

What is Search Engine Optimization

SEO (Search Engine Optimization) or search engine optimization is a series of processes carried out systematically with the aim to increase the volume and quality of traffic from search engines to address a particular web site by utilizing the natural mechanisms that search engine algorithms. SEO specific purpose is to put a website address at the top (or at least on the first page) of search results based on a particular subject. Logically, the site address which occupies the top position of search results has a better chance to get visitors.

Along with the growing use of Web development as a business medium, the need for SEO services also increased. In the top position of search results will increase the chances of a company or a B2C online marketing to get new customers. This opportunity is used a number of parties to offer search engine optimization services for companies engaged in electronic commerce (ecommerce).


Monday, August 10, 2009


SO SORRY for late my computer was broken! Hahahaha!!

As I said Most of GOOD Investors use this simple method! They use weekly candlestick and moving average 30 weeks!!

How to used it, check this:

1.If candlesticks already move below Moving Average 30 weeks, SELL IT!!

2.IfCandlesticks already move above Moving Average 30 weeks, BUY IT!!

3.Choose Stock thats are MARKETS LEADER, not secondary stock!!!

SIMPLE is’nt it!! But you must remember the accuracy not 100% TRUE!! But almost 90%!!

Looks picture below:


Monday, July 27, 2009

HOW TO SELL (Weekly Trader)

If you are weekly trader, look picture below!!


1.Buy at point A (2072)!! RIGHT, I already told you before!! Check here!!

2.Now find the nearest and the lowest support at point B(1850)!!

3.Make horizontal line between A and B, I say it as lineAB!

4.Then make line which has same length with lineAB, so LineAB = Line AC!!

5.C (2293) that’s your sell point!!


1.Check CCI (Commodity Channel Index), I usually use 20days for CCI formula!!

2.After one week CCI line above 100, it will down!!

3.You can sell if CCI 20D already moved below 100 for one week (5 days in The Exchange Market)!!

I am convince you to know that MARKET IS VERY SLOW BULL!!



Sunday, July 12, 2009


Becareful Index (IHSG) will go DOWN SLOWLY!!!

Check this out!!



1.Candlesticks create two TOP, if candlestick break below 1906 point (shoulder) it can be DANGEROUS.

2.VOLUME getting lower than before!!

3.Next target 1906!!


1.Commodity Channel Index still above 0 line.

2.MOMENTUM 200 days line reach 0!!

3.Relative Strength Index 30 days still work above 50%


Check Picture below:



1.Candlesticks form INVERTED CUP HANDLE, and it has been broken (A)!!

2.Bolinger Band MID line move below MA30 and MA40 line!!

3.Commodity Channel Index move below -100!!

4.Relative Strength Index break down 50% line!!


1.Fundamental Still Indicate slow economy recover!!

2.GM out from bankrupt!!

3.G8 GROUPS AGREE to give 200 trillion to help developing countries!

My prediction, IHSG still in SMALL BULL TREND, but becareful if its reach 1717!!!

My suggestion just play safe, buy when closed RED and sell it tomorrow!!



Thursday, July 9, 2009

If you are AMATEURS please read this!!!

Learn about stocksStock is evidence of ownership a company. You have the rights to have devidens and and has the rights to manage the policy and the way the company, depending on the size of your shares. If you have only one lot, your rights to manage the company did not apply because the shares are owned by very small, but you still receive dividends.

The purchase of shares must be done on 500 sheets is also called with 1 lot. You can get profit from Capital Gain and Devidens. Example, buy shares A with a price of 500, and shares A are sold with the price of 600. The Difference 100 is called the Capital Gain. Dividend rights are received from the company's profit results, it can be in the form of money and stocks.

How do I buy shares? You must register on The Broker Companies which registered in the IDX (Indonesia Stock Exchange). If there are companies that are not listed in IDX, The Company is illegal. I tell you this is very dangerous.

Finally, if you do not know anything about stocks and so forth. Do not use all your money in the stock market, you will suffer losses. For beginners use money to appropriate at least limit the money that is required to register at the securities company.


Sunday, June 7, 2009

Dow Jones Industrial NOW VERY BULLISH!!

Dow Jones Industrial Chart

As I said from TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Dow Jones 90% in BULLISH TREND! First day in JUNE is big rally time, many encourage data came out before! Even GM go Bankrupt, stock market still green!

Look picture please!! First, The DARVAS BOX have been broken up by big GREEN candle. Second, Candle jump out above MOVING AVERAGE 200 LINE!! Next target will be 9061, but after this will occur Profit Take within one or two days more! But do not worry its still normal.

My analysis from year to year This month usually stocks go down, if do not go down this month, next month will be down. I am warning you there is no MARKET that is absolutely go up every months or every years!!

Check this OUT:

1.ALL BIG WORLD STOCKS (Dow Jones Industrial, Hangseng, Nikkei, etc) move above Moving Average 200!! And they are still move UP TREND!!

2.Commoditiy Channel Index still above 0 line for three months.

3.Relative Strength Index still above 50% for two months.

4.Good Momentum200 days line!!

5.Oil price Break out 60$. Now 65,5$ reach 70$ this week!

6.Gold price Break out too! Now 955$

Indonesia Stock Exchange

Compare with Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG)!! Buy point :

1.Within two or three days will be RED you can buy again, but sell if GREEN, as I said you can day trade!!!

2.Look “BIG CUP”, if candlestick break 2171 you can buy more!! VERY VERY GOOD CHANCE for INVEST!!

3. If Relative Strength Index reach 70% line or break below it!!


You must be CALM and PATIENT for wait that condition!! TRUST ME AND HAPPY TRADING!!! Last thing If it cannot Break 2171 point this month it can be DANGEROUS, if break BUYBUYBUY!!!!!!


Friday, June 5, 2009


Many people feel secure when they are in the mainstream. For this reason investors form a consensus opinion. They will find fact or the other people think and evidence that support their opinion. In the market this behavior leads super optimism just before crash, or super scary at the very bottom. People think reverse have good effect, and they do opposite act. Like Warren Buffet when people greedy he is afraid, when people afraid he is greedy!!

I want to tell you that CONTRARY OPINION (CO) is a good indicator tool when used properly. Unfortunately, not one investors in hundred really understand it, although every one and his or her broker wants to be sophisticated and think they are using CO. When everybody knows something, it isn’t worth knowing!!

You must understand that all kind of media is merely representing the psychology of the moment. Just be aware that’s it shows up time after in the press, and you have to learn to use it properly rather than letting it wrongly affect you. Many headlines reinforcing at the same sentiment.

From now, be aware of headlines and rumors. When this indicator finally speaks, and when it gets agreement from our other indicators, be sure that you are notice it, before its too late.


Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Scale out your Winners method

The effect of scaling your winners will be an increased average win while stay in your losses with risk parameters.

If you are lose and you lost a lot of money, you must exit NOW or sell all your stock portfolio. If you are win, it is the best to exit half of your stock lots if you do not sure that stocks will go up again or it is at the position at your first target!! If you win one plus one (Increase your portfolio with buy again) again, if you lose one reduce your money to buy stock or reduce your portfolio!!

You must have stop-loss price whenever you buy cheapest stocks. It can be more cheap cheapest! If the Stock price down 6% at close market from your buy point you have to sell it. Or you can set your stop loss order 3% under moving average 30 days. It is same if the stock jump up you must have target price 20%-100% or you follow technical analysis line like : Relative Strength Index, Bollinger Band, Commodity Channel Index, and etc.

Why I am write like that?? Because The Market moves down or up it does not care about your money and my money. You can not moves and predict it 100% right so you need to scale your winner method!! Do not play dumb change method every day. Stays in your method and learn from it minus and add its minus so it can reach at least 75% right or better. But YOU MUST SCALE YOUR WINNER AND BE CONSISTENT!!!


Sunday, May 31, 2009

You have Bad Habit or NOT for INVESTOR

Warren buffet suggestion , to become a better human being, try writing the list begins with the quality of people you admire, and also a list of the quality of the person who is not you admire. Then compare the two, and look for certain patterns therein. Then start to adopt the qualities of the person you admire before, be implemented in your life. Where, when this is done continuously, it can become your habits. If you do this again, your behavior will change. Develop your positive habits, and remove a bad habit.

Here are some question that you may often ask yourself, to ensure that you do not bring bad habits to invest in;

1. Do you make enough observations and analysis before deciding to buy a company stock?
2. Do you only check your stock prices periodic and avoid "noise" rumors of daily "people" who usually say nothing?
3. Do you always avoid tips on a stock, of any origin?
4. Do you avoid the "Crowd" and make your own investment decisions?
5. Would you show patience with the wait for a company value ?
6. Do you avoid investing in companies that do not you understand?
7. Do you act when people fear and sell on the greed of others?
8. Do you apply the rules Mark and Margin of Safety?
9. Consistent if you read the various magazines and newspapers or you can see at BLOOMBERG?

If you answer Yes to a minimum of 7, then you are a sincere pursuit Mr Buffett, and you are in the correct path in investing.


Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Is it better to invest or trade?

Is it better to invest or trade? Those of you are veterans of the market battle know if you are more inclined to trade or invest. But newcomers pften are perplexed about which road to take. Surprisingly, even some expert player are confused in their approach. They may consider themselves investors but actually have a trader’s psyche and therefore poorly.

Very successful traders are certainly scores of winning investors. What I do know it is easier for most market players to win big by following the investing path to profits. It involves less time commitment, less skill and is certainly easier on your emotions. So why should anyone even consider trading? Simple, traders need the challenge and the action. Whereas most investors are more conservative by nature and like to keep their lives relax and calm, traders lives on the edge.

Do not waste your time trying to choose trading or investing for the best way to make money. There is no best way; either approach can lead to success if skillfully applied. which approach you'd be comfortable with. Use a little introspection to find out what cloth you're cut from, and then become the best damned investor or trader that you can be! It leads to disaster if you decide to invest, but then get so angry because your stock dropped six or seven points that you end up dumping it just before the next upleg. So have an honest talk with yourself. If you obviously belong in one area or the other, then get there. Interestingly, there really are a number of market players who are in the middle and can adopt either approach.

A trader shouldn't wait for the 30-week MA to be violated on a sell off before selling. (In fact, if he can time the sale nicely when XYZ is well above the MA, me trader will often repurchase on dips back close to the MA.). trader should never stay with a position if it breaks below the MA 30 weeks by even fraction!

Investor always used 50 days MA or 100 days MA for checking The Trend! If breaks below that Moving average mostly investors sells it!


Sunday, May 24, 2009

Dow JONES is SIDEWAYS! Technical Analysis


Watch out everybody it can getting worst or better!!

Now Dow Jones Industrial at SIDEWAYS POSITION. Looks circle that shout “WATCH OUT”. The Index move between Top line 8602 point (100% Fibonacci retracement) and Bottom line 8234 point (Moving Average 30 days). Candlestick hits STRONG RESISTANCE (8602 point) two times, and hit STRONG SUPPORT (8234 point) two times that’s calls THE INDEX IS INSIDE THE BOX or SIDEWAYS. Becareful it can jump out UP or drop out DOWN. Dow Jones Industrial try to stabilize its position before take a chance!!

Fibonacci retracement lines show steps that candlestick will go or next target!! If JUMP UP next target will be 9092. If DROP DOWN next target will be 7810.

You must Understand!!

  1. The stocks still above Moving Average 30, 40 , 60!! And they are still move UP TREND!!
  2. Commoditiy Channel Index still above 0 line.
  3. Relative Strength Index still above 50%.
  4. Oil price Break out 60$. Now 61,5$
  5. Gold price Break out too! Now 958$

Still In Bull Position!!!

When I compare Dow Jones Industrial Market with the other big market like HANGSENG, NIKKEI, S&P, FTSE, dll. The result is only DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL THAT STAYS IN SIDE WAYS POSITION, BUT THE OTHER STAYS IN BULL POSISTION. It can be the other follows Dow Jones to be sideway, or Dow follow the others to be BULL again!! The last There is NO TECHNICAL CONDITION THAT SHOW DOW JONES BACK TO 6700 POINT AGAIN!! SO IT SAFE YOU can Buy whether Index touch MA30 line or near it. CHOOSEE MINING!!


Monday, May 18, 2009


Now IHSG (Indonesia Stock Exchange) in very-very BULL POSITION!! Looks Black line between two lines (A and B). BULL trend has been formed. Line A has been touch 3 times and line B has been touch 2 times, and BLACK LINE MOVES UP, then it calls BULLISH TREND!!

Since 16 April The VOLUME of transaction getting TIGHT!! Far above 200 average volume. Set your cut loss position when Black line move below MA30!!

Now its second PULLBACK TIME, black line touch line B. You can buy now or you need to wait two weeks again!!

Stock that you can Buy:

ANTM (Aneka Tambang) under 1750

SGRO (Sampoerna Agro) 1670

BUMI (Bumi Resources) under 2000

INCO (International Nickel) 3150-3250

TINS (Timah Tbk) 1800-1900

Next target IHSG GOES TO 2300!! You can sell when it reach that points!!

Technical analysis!!

1. Moving Average 30, 40 and 60 already crossed up by candlestick BLACK line but MA line getting side ways and still moves UP!!!

2. Commodity Channel Index moves above 100 lines since Two weeks ago!! Watch its already go down below 100 aka profit taking, you can buy there!!!

3. Bollinger Bands upper line touch two times!!

4. Relative Strength Index still above 70% that’s still BULLISH for about one months!!!



Sunday, May 10, 2009


The Company that He BOUGHT will be as good as possible, so that fundamentally improved the performance of the business, more financially healthy and well. Companies that previously will bankrupt, can be changed by the company to become a section like sugar that were very interesting for the investor. Do not wonder if the stock price of Berkshire Hathaway - - the company used as a tool for many companies to buy - - its prices continue to increase in the capital market.

However, the business strategy that Warren Buffett used, based on patience and the patience it may be more suitable in countries where the applicable exchange his stock system has a good and strong, which should be strong supervisory control and besides publishers share to be honest. But on this part of the world system, not all exchanges his stocks good and strong, because there is a supervisor exchange can be corrupted and the company that does not contain credible.

The core from Warren Buffett Selecting Stocks :

*.Buffett buy companies that are always simple business can be understood. The Company has a past performance is consistent and has a long-term prospects are promising. This is the basic make Buffett does not want to go to Microsoft. If you do not understand the business of a company, you can not make a rational assessment of the value of investment. In addition, the management company must have three requirements, ie must be rational, open to the shareholders, company management does not imitate others, and must allocate money to investment companies that have added value for shareholders.

*. Buffett buy companies that have highest equity (ROE) good, not income per share. Difference between high and have to return every dollar that is put by the company, the company can create a minimal market value one dollar company.

*. Buffett buy stocks only if the price attractive. That is, when stock prices are falling to the bottom of the price reasonable analysis, the primary company that operates continuously and healthy. Difference between market price and the price reasonable this function as safe margin (margin of safety), which can reduce losses due to miscalculation. Margin also be a source of profits if the stock price back to normal.

Monday, May 4, 2009

Benjamin Graham and Philip Fisher

Warren Buffett bought a stock in companies that fit with his criteria, not giddy with tables, graphics and technical analysis formulas. This is more in His analytics is The Company Fundamental. His favorite book is The Intelligent Investor Ben Graham works, their teachers. according to Graham, are investing in connection with how to understand the big picture, and not glued on the technical details.

Two teachers' claim to the Warren Buffett also, besides Benjamin Graham, is Philip Fisher. Two people who are considered as BEST Teachers by Buffett has a different Investment character. Graham is well known as a value investment strategy. When choosing stocks, Graham always build on the fundamental analysis of corporate financial strategy and diversification.

This means, Graham emphasizes the quantitative criteria, always looking for the stock market price is below fair price. Instead, Philip Fisher put more emphasis on qualitative criteria. According to Fisher, before buying a stock, first see the management team managers, how the company is managed. Buffett see, there is similarity of the two people are experts. Both successful and equally long-term thinking for each investment.

For example, Graham recommends that investors choose stocks that are feasible, although the stock market is suddenly closed tomorrow. Meanwhile,

Fisher gives the example through the way he holds a Texas Instrument shares, purchased since the beginning of the company is doing private placement.

Well, Buffett is brilliant, trying to merge strategy and Graham Fisher. You can used too!!


Wednesday, April 29, 2009


'Stay away from credit cards and invest in yourself and remember:

1. Money does not create human beings. But man can create MONEY ....
2. Get your life as yourself. Important that you need COMFORTABLE ...
3. Do not do what other people say. Listen to their course, but just do what makes you comfortable (feel good). Do not follow The others!!!
4. Do not buy goods because Its Brands. Wears clothes that really make you feel comfortable.
5. Do not spend your money for goods that are not important.
Use your money wisely for the needs of the
you really need.
6. Finally, this is all your life. "Life is only once. Why do you need to give people the opportunity
to manage your life?. Live with your own style, which is you're happy, you're satisfied, you are comfortable, and you will be happier ...

Rules pay attention please:

Pay attention to the 2% rule. do not let that one position in the loss exceeds 2% of total capital. This rule will be able to determine your stop loss level is at. Likewise this rule can help you how it is that the lot number associated with stock prices and associate with the 2% rule is

Note the 6% rule. If all the losses have reached 6% of total capital, selling all and stop trading in the first month. Find the causes of the error so that the losses arising up to 6% of these. Try to fix the error and have to know if the error may be new trading again on the following month.

• Set the stop before you shop. Making trading plan contains what price that I need to buy, how does the what price that I need to take profit and how much will be cut loss and specify trailing stop (stop steps) if you want your profit be higher than your target. It is recommended not to make a purchase before trading plan is prepared.


Monday, April 27, 2009


Indonesia stock exchange chart

Stock is still in BULLISH position, but you maybe feels afraid!! Looks picture carefully and looks The Fibonacci line if you bought any stock when Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG) price at 1461 you must set cut loss when IHSG price reach 1509. If move below it, could be worse for your portfolio!! The Fibonacci line like support line!!!

But don not be afraid looks the volume getting tight right??? And Momentum 200 line still in good position!!! While Candlestick moves below MA30 you must sell all your portfolio, because IHSG can slumped again!!!

As I saying now, its pullback time you can buy when IHSG candlestick at 50% - 61.8%, or it reach near 61,8%. You can buy starts tomorrow!!

Stock that you can Buy:

ANTM (Aneka Tambang) 1250-1280

SGRO (Sampoerna Agro) 1394-1535

BUMI (Bumi Resources) 1150-1200

INCO (International Nickel) 2800-2900

TINS (Timah Tbk) 1270

Technical analysis!!

1. Moving Average 30, 40 and 60 already crossed up by candlestick but MA line getting side ways!!!

2. GOLDEN CROSSS, GOLDEN CROSSS, what is that check here!!! If MA30 crossing up MA40!!!

3. Looks The Fibonacci line you can buy when reach 61,8%!! Fibonacci indicate support line, DANGER IF BELOW 50%!!!

4. Commodity Channel Index moves above 100 lines since Three weeks ago!! Watch its already go down below 100 aka profit taking!!!

5. Relative Strength Index still above 70% that’s still BULLISH!!!


If Momentum200 line still above momentumMA200 line that’s still INDICATE BULLISH POSITION, 90% TRULY HAPPEN TRUST ME EASY RIGHT HAHAHAHA!!


Thursday, April 23, 2009

Buying Quality with Warren Buffet

Management. Warren puts strong management on the top of his list. He likes to meet them in person and get to know them. That’s a little too much to ask of you. But, at minimum, you should read the CEO’s bio (which is typically provided on a company’s website). And google the CEO’s name. Nine times out of 10, you’ll get plenty of instant reading material. If you can, go to the company’s annual meetings and listen to the CEO and other executives speak. Or – if that’s not possible – listen to their

-in quarterly earnings report.

Just remember that there’s no such thing as too much direct and up-close exposure to the companies you’re investing in. The more you know about them, the better buy/sell decisions you will make.

Quality products. As a general rule, the more high-end its products are, the better margins a company makes. Companies charge a premium for new technology, sleeker designs, more features, better packaging – which all go into high-end products … and customers gladly pay. The less high-end, the easier it is for China and other countries to make cheap copies and put your company out of business. ‘Nuf said.

Understand the company. What does this have to do with quality? Not much. But it has everything to do with your ability to judge whether a company is in a class by itself or classless. You need to know at least something about the business. This is a relative requirement, because this kind of knowledge often falls somewhere between knowing nothing and knowing it all. But if you don’t have a clue about what makes a company’s

business tick, STAY away. Whether or not a company can grow its profits should not be a guessing game. Nor should it be a “follow the leader” game. Even if everybody in your bridge club is flocking to this business or a company in this business, still STAY AWAY. Who knows what they’re following or why? Bad advice is the ruination of many an investor.

Is looking into all this really necessary? Can so many people get it wrong? Warren, in fact, counts on so many people not getting it. That’s why he loves “cigar-butt” companies that are so out-of-favor nobody will touch them.

He stays away from the buzz-generators. As a “life-long technophobe” (as he confesses on the Berkshire website), he stayed away from the high-tech companies when they were the rage in the 1990s. How dare he?

“Warren Buffett should say ‘I’m sorry,’” fumed Harry Newton, publisher of Technology Investor Magazine, in early 2000. “How did he miss the silicon, wireless, DSL, cable, and biotech revolutions?”. That was the year AOL stock rose six-fold and had rocketed by 1,000%, while shares in Berkshire had climbed only 11%. But, as history proved, the “Buffett Way” won out in the end. The dotcom bubble exploded, leaving millions of Americans poor and in shock.

Source from


Monday, April 20, 2009

How Expert Trader Sell Their Stocks

Is the best to learn to sell on the way up while your stock still advancing and looks strong to everyone else. By do that, you will avoid getting caught in 20% to 40% corrections which occur periodically. You never sell at the exact top, so stop says “Oh after I sold it moved higher!!”. The purpose you play stocks to get GAIN not GREEDYY. The old man saying is, “ Bulls make money and Bears make money, BUT PIGS DON’T.

Here The Expert Trader Rule :

Rothschild’s Stock Rule, never buy at the Bottom and always sell too soon.

Joe Kennedy Stock rule, The object is to get out while stock is up, before it has chance to break down. Once the price has risen into estimated normal or overvaluation areas, the amount held should be reduced steadily as quotations advance.

Jack Dreyfus Stock Rule. He only bought when the price broke into new high ground. He was also beating the pants off every one of his competitors that depended solely on fundamental analytical opinions and ignored the market behavior of stocks.

Jesse Livermore, His method is AVERAGING UP, or PYRAMIDING, when stock moved up after purchase.

Profit Loss Plan. Not pyramid more than 5% than buy point, and sell when it reach 20% from break out point. Take 20% profits when you have them (except with the most powerful of all stocks) and cut losses at 8%.


Friday, April 17, 2009

Warren Buffet and his simple method

Who is Warren Buffet? He is born in the Midwest of United States. He is known as the Sage of Omaha. His hair gray. His work not to follow crowd in The Wall Street. He became a legend, admired for his simplicity method for investing and he gain billions of dollars. Now He is the number two richest MAN in the world!!

What are His simple method :

1.He is not afraid to invest in unfashionable or unpopular companies. Do not underestimated companies does not popular. Its price does not move so fast but its safe and sure it have good VALUES.

2. He has to be excited about the company. He is talk about the company itself and the business that The company works, not the potential returns. He looks a company not like us. We buy stocks because the transaction as if we were buying into a private business. Mr Buffet buy as if He is going to partner up with it.

Mr Buffet does not depend on algorithmic models, modern software programs that use data and formula to create buy or sell indicators.

Before we buy something we need to figure out if we are getting a good price and good things. How does it perform? How long it can take? Who the owner? Which sector this company include in? Is this new?

You need to know what kind of a company that you buy its stock. If you do not know anything just know that stock price is cheap, you DUMBER!!! Sees The Company record for the last 5 or 10 years!! Watch its reputation and quality!


Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Head and Shoulder Pattern

The head and shoulders pattern is good way to show that BULLISH will lead the way, and very famous among short sellers. Short sellers are people who get profit from downtrend, sell now buy next day!

It forms when candlestick creates three peaks, but the middle peak must higher than the other peaks, after that the candlestick drops. Then make line which connecting the bottom of the two points.

First stock is stay sideways. Investors start to buy when they think that stocks are undervalued, then they hurries to buy, because stock has run to high investors get fear and sell it. After that Investors realize get back again and buy more till get new high, then sell for profit taking. The last, buyer can not stand against seller so stock price has small tiny up and get down below sideways points. Looks picture below :

Head and Shoulder

How to get gain from Head Shoulder pattern. You must used short sell. Short sell when price move below neck line, and buy it when it reach the bottom (Same distance between neck and head).

This can be GOOD for warning that stock will be BULLISH. MORE longer the periodic which formed The Head Shoulder Pattern more definitive BULLISH will happened!!

Sunday, April 12, 2009

Devidend and Capital Gain

In order to avoid events that arise due to systematic risk these investors are advised to always use the funds to invest in the long term. Because of the lessons that have been systematic-risk conditions are generally not continued long, let alone permanently. Remember when the monetary crisis, the stock prices fell, but in a matter of four years now-shares are stocks rising hundreds of times before the crisis rather than price. This is a valuable lesson that needs to know. Investors always use to invest in long-term. Moreover, the behavior of a capitalist who infuse capital in the form of shares in the capital markets that have a desire to increase investment and provide benefits. Therefore only the long-term fund investors can optimize the objective.

As we know the investment shares have the potential advantage in the two (2) case, the division of dividend increases and share price (capital gain). First, Dividend is a company that profits distributed to all shareholders. Usually conducted once a year. Form of the dividend itself, can be a form of cash or additional shares. Meanwhile, capital gain, obtained based on the difference between the selling price with the price of shares purchased. Where is the profit gained when the stock price is higher than the price to buy shares. So investing in stocks have two components that are expected to investors in an investment, first an income that can be received periodically, such as a dividend. The second is the form of income, the difference comes from the increasing price of purchased shares, usually called the capital gain or capital loss.

Two expectations are 'capital' of a major investor in investing. Two expectations are also at a time can be an investor in the stock market. Therefore, in a down market, investors should increase funding so that it can get a stock-stock with cheaper price. In other words increasing the number of shares held. Why do so. Because psychological market always associated with something that is not real (intangible event) an event that is triggered by something that are not real, that the price fluctuation is not due to factors internal to the company but something more systematic.

With the increase of ownership shares in itself to increase the potential for good income and a capital gain dividend, as market conditions do not recover this systematic risk , is not permanent. So the strategy in the investment conditions in the systematic risk is very simple that investors should always use the funds long-term, not short-term funds. Moreover, the funds obtained from the debt.


Wednesday, April 8, 2009

BUY this stockkkkk!!!!

Stock still running up and your heart tickling very fast right. Many people said “OH NOOOO I am not buy anything, whether I should buy now when the price already up!!”. Do not worry market will go down again for profit taking or I say “PULLBACK”. Pullback happens when the market go up and back again near original state before going up, maybe about 5 till 10% of original state or BREAK UP point, after that it will back up again!!!


Example stocks that you can buy :

SGRO (Sampoerna Agro) 1240-1280

AALI (Astra Agro Lestari) 13300-14000

ANTM (Aneka Tambang) 1130-1160

INCO (International Nickel) 2170-2370

TINS (Timah Tbk) 1080-1120

The stocks that I choose has very-very HIGH volume and The Best One or Two from its sector!!! I choose SGRO for example, looks picture below?

Astra Agro Lestari Chart

Technical analysis :

1. ALL MOVING AVERAGE crossed up!!

2. Two BIG CUP has formed and BREAK UP with HIGH volume!!

3. Look The Candlesticks move through Upper line of Bollinger Band!! Two Hits that indicates BULLISH trend!!

4. Relative Strength Index and Commodity Channel Index are in BULLISH position!!

5. PULLBACK TIME yeahhhhhhhh!!! Buy it at price 5%-10% from MA30 price!!

Buy it but set Cut Loss Point at MA30, but you must understand the condition that Indonesia Stock Exchange influence by Other world market like Dow Jones Industrial, Hangseng, and Nikkei!! Watch if Dow Jones Industrial Chart down near Moving Average 30, just buy with 25% of your total money!! HAPPY AND SAVE TRADING!!!!


Sunday, April 5, 2009


How much gain you receive this week! I already told you before right!! CHECK THIS link! Watch out profit taking will occurred next two or three days again!! My suggestion sell half your stocks and buy again when MARKET get down, do not worry its still in BULLISH TIME. BULLISH until when??? Wait after good news of G20 meetings that to give financial assistance to developing countries move away!! After that lets We see The Market go back down or up. I am afraid there is not good news after G20 meetings. Watch out HOLD half your money!

Positive market response to the perpetrators of the G20 meeting is also a momentum for the return to capital markets skittish. I expected on this week is still able to hold strongly following a positive sentiment that has emerged both from within and abroad.

Indonesia stock exchange chart

Learn Technical Analysis below, and watch picture above:

1. Moving Average 30, 40 and 60 already crossed up by candlestick!!!

2. Line 1446 with candlestick formed “A BIG CUP”!!

3. GOLDEN CROSSS, GOLDEN CROSSS, what is that check here!!! If MA30 crossing up MA40!!!

4. Oho CANDLESTICK HIT TWO TIMES upper line of Bollinger band, that’s indicate trend is change to BULLISH!!!

5. Commodity Channel Index moves above 100 lines since two weeks ago!! Watch its will go down below 100 aka profit taking!!!

6. Relative Strength Index going up then it will reach 70%, watch for profit taking!!!

My suggestion buy mining sector and agricultural sector, like PTBA, ANTM, INCO, TINS, AALI, SGRO and INDF!!! BUY when Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG) candlestick back to 1446


Friday, March 27, 2009

Internal and External Factor

Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG) as part of the world's capital markets continue to develop its own right. And as the investment vehicle, the financier invested also come from many nations, not only domestic investors. The impact of all the systematic risk (systematic risk) for the Indonesian Capital Market also be increased. If only first in the country's economic policies such Bank Rate, political and economic reference into systematic risk, is now no longer as Indonesia Capital Market is the world.

In other words, systematic risk in the Indonesian capital market now is not only come from within the country only, mortgage in America shock that occurred in the last example is a global exchange real stock price correction due to external factors.

Before investing a good capitalist should first understand the risk that problems may be encountered. Related to this risk, at least, there are two categories of risk must be understood for a capitalist market share in the unsystematic risk and systematic risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that arises from the body of the company itself, for example, related to the company's operational, financial reports and company performance. Risk is also often called risk factors because internal. When the decrease in stock prices, companies have the ability to improve, for example, to improve the performance of the company. If the company is experiencing a failure in producing goods or services by itself can be improved, for example, by making corporate action. This is surely because the company can be done in the unsystematic risk is only associated with the business risk and financial risk from internal company.

While the systematic risk is the risk that arise because of factors outside the company, for example because of policy, market conditions, psychological aspects. Systematic risk in the management of this company at all or can not do anything because it comes from factors outside of the company. Included in this systematic risk is market risk, bank rate risk and liquidity risk.

Many of the risk as it is said that the risk is influenced by external factors. Because the operational factor despite external company to run well, and stock prices there is no reason to go down but it's just the market reacts negatively because the emergence of psychological conditions that affect the market expectations on the stock.

Systematic risk associated with this, it seems many examples that we can ask for easy understanding of this risk. For example, when the social-political and economic systematically changes will also changes the result in a stock price correction. The fact, when the leadership changes in the country is suddenly torn stock prices react. Irrespective whether the changes positive or negative for the market, that conditions can be categorized as systematic risk of stock investment. Now, systematic risk is also not only come from within the country only because of local factors but also because of external influences such as that which occurs at this time due to U.S. economic un consistent cause investors to be cautious in investing.